Maharashtra Monsoon 2026: 41% Baarish Ka Ghata — Mumbai-Pune Mein Kab Aayegi Rahat?
Southwest Monsoon Maharashtra ke upar kaafi dinon se ruka hua hai. IMD ne 22 June se baarish ki bhavishyavani ki hai aur Yellow Alert jaari kiya hai. Jaaniye poori jankari ekdum saral bhasha mein.
(4–18 June 2026)
(Normal: 72.2 mm)
baarish ka ghata
total baarish abhi tak
Monsoon Ruka Kyun? — Poori Kahani
Is saal ka southwest monsoon 4 June 2026 ko Kerala mein normal samay par aaya. Pehle 4 dino mein iska safar bhi theek raha. Lekin uske baad se yeh ek jagah — dakshin Maharashtra — ke upar atka hua hai aur aage badhne ka naam nahi le raha.
IMD ke anusar, "arabian sea se nammi ki tej dhara ka na aana" sabse bada karan hai. Iske saath El Niño ki conditions bhi equatorial Pacific mein ubhar rahi hain, jo India mein baarish ko kamzor karne ka kaam karti hain. Yeh combo is saal ke monsoon ke liye chinta ka sabab banta ja raha hai.
"Arabian Sea branch kamzor hai, low-level southwesterly winds dhimi hain — inhi wajahon se Maharashtra ke zyaadatar hisson mein baarish agle 4-5 dino tak chutput hi rahegi." — IMD, New Delhi
Monsoon Timeline 2026 — Abhi Tak Ka Safar
Mumbai Mausam — Aaj Se Kya Badlega?
Mumbai mein monsoon ka saamaanya aaney ka din 10–11 June hota hai. Is saal yeh date bahut peeche chhoot gayi. June ke pehle teen hafton mein sirf 13 mm baarish darj ki gayi, jo normal se kaafi kam hai.
Ab achhi khabar yeh hai ki IMD ke anusar 22 June (raat) se Arabian Sea mein nammi badhne ki wajah se Konkan belt mein baarish tej ho sakti hai. 24–25 June tak Mumbai mein monsoon ka poori tarah aana possible hai.
| Tarikh | Mumbai / Konkan Mausam | Alert |
|---|---|---|
| 21 June (Aaj) | Aandhi-toofan ke saath halki baarish, max 31°C | Yellow |
| 22 June | Toofan, bijli, 30–40 kmph hawa, madhyam baarish | Yellow |
| 23 June | Baarish tej hogi, Thane-Palghar-Raigad bhi prabhavit | Yellow |
| 24–25 June | Monsoon arrival expected — widespread rain | Alert Likely |
BMC ne pehle hi pani ki supply mein 20% ki katauti construction sites, commercial establishments aur industries ke liye kar di hai. Mumbai ki saat jheelon ka paani level critically low ho gaya hai — abhi yeh pichle saal ke 25% ke muqable bhi kaafi kam hai.
Pune Mausam Update — June Mein Record Sukhha
Pune ki Shivajinagar weather observatory ne June 2026 ke pehle 15 dinon mein ek bhi mm baarish record nahi ki. IMD ke itihaas mein 1958 ke baad pehli baar aisa hua hai. Isse pehle aisa 1915 aur 1932 mein hua tha.
Vidarbha ke kuch hisson mein temperature maximum se 5°C se bhi zyada ooper chala gaya. Marathwada aur Madhya Maharashtra mein bhi "large deficient" rainfall category mein aa gaye hain — matlab normal se 60% ya zyada kami.
Kisi aur jagah ka haal?
- Central India: Sabse bura — 67% baarish ka ghata. Kharif ki fasal ke liye apatkalin sthiti.
- East & Northeast India: 42% ghata, lekin Sub-Himalayan Bengal mein relief milna shuru.
- Southern Peninsula: 22% ghata — Kerala-Karnataka thode behtar.
- Northwest India: 6% ghata — yahaan sthiti behtar hai. Western Disturbance ne madad ki.
El Niño Ka Darr — Kya Monsoon Kamzor Rahega?
Meteorologists abhi El Niño ki emerging conditions par kadi nazar rakhe hue hain. El Niño equatorial Pacific Ocean mein aane wali ek garmahat ki lakhar hai jo India mein baarish ko kam aur kamzor kar deti hai.
IMD ka Monsoon Mission Climate Forecast System (MMCFS) ke model bata rahe hain ki season ke ant mein weak positive IOD (Indian Ocean Dipole) ki sthiti bhi ban sakti hai — jo kuch rahat de sakti hai. Lekin yeh June-July ki performance par seedha asar dalega — khaaskar kharif ki fasal jaise dhaan, soyabean aur makka ke liye.
"Monsoon ki deri ka matlab poora season kharaab nahi hota — June se September ka overall performance zyada mahattvapurna hai." — Meteorological Expert, IMD
Union Agriculture Minister Shivraj Singh Chouhan ne pehle hi nirdesh diye hain ki un jillon ki pahchaan ki jaaye jahaan baarish kam ya asaman reh sakti hai, aur wahan kharif fasal ke contingency plans ready rakhe jaayein.